The Asymmetric Effect of Selected Agricultural Commodities and Oil Prices on Economic Growth in Nigeria - Acta Universitatis Sapientiae

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Volume 12, 2024
The Asymmetric Effect of Selected Agricultural Commodities and Oil Prices on Economic Growth in Nigeria
Umaru AMINU, Matthew Oladapo GIDIGBI, Bishara Saidu DOGO

Acta Univ. Sapientiae, Economics and Business, 12 (2024) 27–50

DOI: 10.47745/auseb-2024-0002

Abstract. This paper asymmetrically examined the effect of selected commodity prices on Nigeria’s economic growth using the Non-linear Autoregressive Distributed Lagged (NARDL) model.Data extracted from the Central Bank of Nigeria’s Statistical Bulletin covering the period from 2010:1 to 2021:1 were used.We found that the effect of the selected commodities’ prices on economic growth is mixed, as some of the selected commodities are positively related to outputs, while some are not. Therefore, the investigation is still open due to the mixed results. This study recommends the sustained support and possible expansion of the agricultural commodities boosting the programme of the Central Government with the adequate monitoring and evaluation of such programmes. Also, the government should tackle the issue of oil importation by developing an adequate refining infrastructure through privatization or public–private partnerships to meet domestic oil demand.

Keywords: asymmetrically, commodities price, economic growth, NARDL

JEL Classification: F43, C24, Q11, Q31

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